Biodiversity Credits: The Next Frontier After Carbon
Biodiversity credits promise funding for nature restoration that carbon markets can't reach. Here's how they work, what can go wrong, and where marine ecosystems fit.
Priya Raman ·
How biodiversity credit markets actually work — who issues, who buys, how prices form, and the due-diligence questions that separate real nature finance from noise.
If biodiversity credits are the concept, markets are the machinery: the schemes, registries, contracts and buyers that turn a measured ecological gain into money for the people who delivered it. That machinery is young — far younger than carbon markets — and still being built in several places at once. This explainer maps how a biodiversity credit market is actually structured, where the real schemes sit today, how prices form in a market with no fungible unit, and the questions a buyer should ask before wiring money.
Every functioning market needs the same organs. In biodiversity credits, they look like this:
The market works when these organs trust each other. It fails — as early carbon markets periodically did — when any one of them is hollow.
There is no single global biodiversity credit market, and there may never be one, because biodiversity is inherently local. What exists is a patchwork:
The 2022 Kunming–Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework gave this patchwork its macro-logic: governments committed to closing the biodiversity finance gap, and private markets are expected to carry part of that load. Corporate disclosure pressure — led by the TNFD framework — supplies the demand-side pull.
Carbon has a reference price because a tonne is a tonne. Biodiversity credits have no such anchor — a credit from a Tasmanian kelp reef and one from a Colombian watershed share no unit. Prices therefore form through negotiated quality, and the drivers will look familiar to anyone who has watched the quality premium emerge in carbon:
The practical consequence: price discovery is slow, and headline prices in press releases say almost nothing about what your credit would cost. Treat every published figure as one data point from one bespoke deal.
Two risks deserve plain names.
Liquidity risk. Most biodiversity credit markets have few buyers, few projects, and little secondary trading. A credit bought today may be impossible to price or resell tomorrow. For buyers that's a reputational-budget issue rather than a financial one; for project developers it's existential, because a market that thins out mid-contract can strand a restoration program. The fix isn't bigger warehouses of credits — it's demand-side commitments (multi-year offtakes, public anchor purchasing) that give stewards revenue certainty.
Double claiming. A single ecological gain must not be sold twice, claimed by both a company and a host country, or stacked onto a carbon credit representing the same outcome rather than a genuinely different service. The defences are boring and essential: one registry of record per outcome, explicit accounting rules in the scheme, and audited retirement. Our explainer on nature credits vs carbon credits walks through the mechanics.
Before purchasing, a buyer's counsel and sustainability lead should jointly be able to answer:
On our side of the ledger: Tidewright's Canopy Ledger monitoring is structured so the biodiversity evidence behind a credit — canopy, community, eDNA baselines — is inspection-ready, but we treat biodiversity-credit issuance as pilot-stage work, and any figures we publish about it are illustrative. That stance, applied industry-wide, would keep this young market honest.
Biodiversity credit markets will not converge on one global unit the way carbon did — and don't need to. The plausible trajectory is regional schemes maturing under disclosure pressure, interoperability standards emerging between registries, and a gradual sorting of schemes into credible and ornamental. Marine credits — kelp forests, seagrasses, oyster reefs — are well positioned because their outcomes are fast, measurable and photographable. The buyers who shape the market will be the ones who treat the first purchases as institution-building: small volumes, hard questions, published learning.
Mostly not yet. Compliance offset regimes are regulated by definition, but voluntary biodiversity credit schemes are currently governed by their own standards and national frameworks, with increasing attention from securities and consumer-protection regulators on the claims buyers make. Expect regulation to follow disclosure rules within this decade.
Rarely in practice. Compliance units trade in some jurisdictions, but most voluntary biodiversity credits sell through bilateral, negotiated purchases and retire immediately. Treat them as illiquid, relationship-based instruments rather than exchange commodities.
Estimates vary widely and depend heavily on whether compliance offsets are counted. Rather than anchor on a headline number — which changes with every methodology — watch the structural signals: new national schemes, registry interoperability, and whether corporate offtakes lengthen from one-off purchases to multi-year contracts.
Yes, if each credit represents a distinct outcome — carbon sequestered versus biodiversity gained — and the scheme and registry prevent the identical outcome from being claimed twice. This stacking is often what makes a restoration program financially whole.
A unit you cannot inspect. If the seller cannot produce the metric definition, the baseline, the verification report and the registry entry, the credit is a certificate of intention, not a measured gain — regardless of how beautiful the brochure reef looks.
Biodiversity credits promise funding for nature restoration that carbon markets can't reach. Here's how they work, what can go wrong, and where marine ecosystems fit.
Priya Raman ·
Biodiversity credits need a unit. Habitat hectares, species richness, condition scores, eDNA indices — the metrics on the table, and what each one misses.
Dr. Mara Ellison ·

Carbon credits count tonnes; nature credits count living complexity. How the two markets differ, overlap and collide — and how honest projects keep the ledgers straight.
Dr. Mara Ellison ·